Effectiveness of maternal influenza vaccination during pregnancy against laboratory-confirmed seasonal influenza among infants under 6 months of age in Ontario, Canada.

BACKGROUND: Randomized trials conducted in low- and middle-income settings demonstrated efficacy of influenza vaccination during pregnancy against influenza infection among infants <6 months of age. However, vaccine effectiveness (VE) estimates from settings with different population characteristics and influenza seasonality remain limited. METHODS: We conducted a test-negative study in Ontario, Canada. All influenza virus tests among infants <6 months from 2010-2019 were identified and linked with health databases to ascertain information on maternal-infant dyads. VE was estimated from the odds ratio for influenza vaccination during pregnancy among cases versus controls, computed using logistic regression with adjustment for potential confounders. RESULTS: Among 23,806 infants tested for influenza, 1,783 (7.5%) were positive and 1,708 (7.2%) were born to mothers vaccinated against influenza during pregnancy. VE against laboratory-confirmed infant influenza infection was 64% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 50%-74%). VE was similar by trimester of vaccination (1st/2nd: 66%, 40%-80%; 3rd: 63%, 46%-74%), infant age at testing (0-<2 months: 63%, 46%-75%; 2-<6 months: 64%, 36%-79%), and gestational age at birth (≥37 weeks: 64%, 50%-75%; < 37 weeks: 61%, 4%-86%). VE against influenza hospitalization was 67% (95%CI: 50%-78%). CONCLUSIONS: Influenza vaccination during pregnancy offers effective protection to infants <6 months, for whom vaccines are not currently available.

Individualized Prospective Prediction of Opioid Use Disorder.

OBJECTIVE: Opioid use disorder (OUD) is a chronic relapsing disorder with a problematic pattern of opioid use, affecting nearly 27 million people worldwide. Machine learning (ML)-based prediction of OUD may lead to early detection and intervention. However, most ML prediction studies were not based on representative data sources and prospective validations, limiting their potential to predict future new cases. In the current study, we aimed to develop and prospectively validate an ML model that could predict individual OUD cases based on representative large-scale health data. METHOD: We present an ensemble machine-learning model trained on a cross-linked Canadian administrative health data set from 2014 to 2018 (n = 699,164), with validation of model-predicted OUD cases on a hold-out sample from 2014 to 2018 (n = 174,791) and prospective prediction of OUD cases on a non-overlapping sample from 2019 (n = 316,039). We used administrative records of OUD diagnosis for each subject based on International Classification of Diseases (ICD) codes. RESULTS: With 6409 OUD cases in 2019 (mean [SD], 45.34 [14.28], 3400 males), our model prospectively predicted OUD cases at a high accuracy (balanced accuracy, 86%, sensitivity, 93%; specificity 79%). In accord with prior findings, the top risk factors for OUD in this model were opioid use indicators and a history of other substance use disorders. CONCLUSION: Our study presents an individualized prospective prediction of OUD cases by applying ML to large administrative health datasets. Such prospective predictions based on ML would be essential for potential future clinical applications in the early detection of OUD.

Improved vaccine coverage for First Nations children receiving first dose on-reserve: a retrospective cohort study in western Canada.

INTRODUCTION: Fragmentation in immunisation reporting systems pose challenges in measuring vaccine coverage for First Nations children in Canada. Some Nations have entered into data-sharing agreements with the province of Alberta's health ministry, enabling novel opportunities to calculate coverage. METHODS: Partnering with a First Nations community in Alberta, this retrospective cohort study calculated routine childhood vaccine coverage. Administrative data for vaccines delivered within and outside the community were linked to calculate partial and complete immunisation coverage in 2013-2019 at ages 2 and 7 years for children living in the community. We also compared vaccine coverage each year for (a) children who were and were not continuous community residents and (b) children who received or not their first vaccine at the on-reserve community health centre. We also calculated the mean complete coverage across all study years with 95% CIs. RESULTS: For most vaccines, coverage was higher (p<0.05) at ages 2 and 7 years for children that received their first vaccine at the First Nations health centre, compared with those who received their first dose elsewhere. For example, for pneumococcal vaccine, the mean level of complete coverage in 2-year-olds was 55.7% (52.5%-58.8%) for those who received their first vaccine in the community, compared with 33.3% (29.4%-37.3%) for those who did not; it was also higher at 7 years (75.6%, 72.7%-78.5%, compared with 55.5%, 49.7%-61.3%). CONCLUSION: Initiating the vaccine series at the on-reserve community health centre had a positive impact on coverage. The ability to measure accurate coverage through data-sharing agreements and vaccine record linkage will support First Nations communities in identifying individual and community immunity. The findings also support the transfer of health funding and service delivery to First Nations to improve childhood immunisation uptake.

Text Message Reminders to Improve Immunization Appointment Attendance in Alberta, Canada: The Childhood Immunization Reminder Project Pilot Study.

BACKGROUND: Vaccine coverage for 18-month-old children in Canada is often below the recommended level, which may be partially because of parental forgetfulness. SMS text message reminders have been shown to potentially improve childhood immunization uptake but have not been widely used in Alberta, Canada. In addition, it has been noted that language barriers may impede immunization service delivery but continue to remain unaddressed in many existing reminder and recall systems. OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to assess the effectiveness and acceptability of using SMS text messages containing a link to web-based immunization information in different languages to remind parents of their child's 18-month immunization appointment. METHODS: The Childhood Immunization Reminder Project was a pilot intervention at 2 public health centers, one each in Lethbridge and Edmonton, Alberta, Canada. Two SMS text message reminders were sent to parents: a booking reminder 3 months before their child turned 18 months old and an appointment reminder 3 days before their scheduled appointment. Booking reminders included a link to the study website hosting immunization information in 9 languages. To evaluate intervention effectiveness, we compared the absolute attendance no-show rates before the intervention and after the intervention. The acceptability of the intervention was evaluated through web-based surveys completed by parents and public health center staff. Google Analytics was used to determine how often web-based immunization information was accessed, from where, and in which languages. RESULTS: Following the intervention, the health center in Edmonton had a reduction of 6.4% (95% CI 3%-9.8%) in appointment no-shows, with no change at the Lethbridge Health Center (0.8%, 95% CI -1.4% to 3%). The acceptability surveys were completed by 222 parents (response rate: 23.9%) and 22 staff members. Almost all (>95%) respondents indicated that the reminders were helpful and provided useful suggestions for improvement. All surveyed parents (222/222, 100%) found it helpful to read web-based immunization information in their language of choice. Google Analytics data showed that immunization information was most often read in English (118/207, 57%), Punjabi (52/207, 25.1%), Arabic (13/207, 6.3%), Spanish (12/207, 5.8%), Italian (4/207, 1.9%), Chinese (4/207, 1.9%), French (2/207, 0.9%), Tagalog (1/207, 0.5%), and Vietnamese (1/207, 0.5%). CONCLUSIONS: The study's findings support the use of SMS text message reminders as a convenient and acceptable method to minimize parental forgetfulness and potentially reduce appointment no-shows. The diverse languages accessed in web-based immunization information suggest the need to provide appropriate translated immunization information. Further research is needed to evaluate the impact of SMS text message reminders on childhood immunization coverage in different settings.

Association between influenza vaccination and risk of stroke in Alberta, Canada: a population-based study.

BACKGROUND: Respiratory infection can be an immediate precursor to stroke and myocardial infarction. Influenza vaccination is associated with reduced risk of myocardial infarction and hospitalisation for cardiac disease, and influenza vaccination is strongly recommended for patients with heart disease. Evidence on whether the same protective association exists for stroke, and whether this potential effect is consistent across age and risk groups, is conflicting. We aimed to assess the risk of stroke after influenza vaccination in adults. METHODS: We obtained administrative data from the Alberta Health Care Insurance Plan (which covers all residents of Alberta, Canada) beginning on Sept 30, 2009, or May 15 of the year in which residents were recorded as being 18 years of age. Individuals were censored at the earliest of three events: death, recorded outmigration, or Dec 31, 2018. The outcome of interest was any stroke event, comprising acute ischaemic stroke, intracerebral haemorrhage, subarachnoid haemorrhage, and transient ischaemic attack. We used Andersen-Gill Cox models to analyse the hazard of any stroke event for individuals with recent (<182 days) influenza vaccination compared with those without recent influenza vaccination, with adjustment for age, sex, anticoagulant use, atrial fibrillation, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, diabetes, hypertension, income quintile, and rural or urban home location. Two-way interaction terms between each individual covariate and vaccination status were used to assess for effect modification by risk factor. The association between vaccination and risk of each type of stroke was also modelled, adjusting for baseline covariates. FINDINGS: The study sample consisted of 4 141 209 adults (29 687 899 person-years of observation time) registered under the provincial health-care system between Sept 30, 2009, and Dec 31, 2018. 1 769 565 (42·73%) individuals received at least one vaccination during the study period, and 38 126 stroke events were recorded. Adjusted for demographics and comorbidities, recent influenza vaccination significantly reduced the hazard of stroke (hazard ratio 0·775 [95% CI 0·757-0·793]). This association persisted across all stroke types. We found effect modification by each covariate examined except for home location; however, vaccination was associated with a reduced risk of stroke overall across all ages and risk profiles with the exception of individuals without hypertension. INTERPRETATION: The risk of stroke is reduced among people who have recently been vaccinated against influenza compared with those who have not. This association extended to the entire adult population and was not limited to individuals with a baseline high risk of stroke. Further studies in a variety of settings are needed to evaluate whether influenza vaccination could be used as a public health strategy to prevent stroke. FUNDING: None.

Comparative performance of the EuroQol EQ-5D-5L and the CDC healthy days measures in assessing population health.

OBJECTIVES: To examine the comparative performance of EuroQol EQ-5D-5L and Center for Disease Control Healthy Days measures in assessing population health. METHODS: Using data from 2014 Alberta Community Health Survey, a cross-sectional population-based survey (N = 7559), conducted in Alberta, Canada, we examined construct validity of the measures as indicators of population health. Differences in EQ-5D-5L index score, visual analogue scale (EQ-VAS), and CDC unhealthy days index across socio-demographic subgroups were tested by Mann-Whitney and Kruskal-Wallis tests using known-groups approach. RESULTS: EQ-5D-5L and CDC Healthy Days provided comparable assessments of population health in this sample. Both measures discriminated between subgroups defined by self-perceived health status, level of education, and material deprivation. The discriminative ability of CDC Healthy Days was limited in capturing variability in health among age groups compared to the EQ-5D-5L. Among participants who reported 0 unhealthy days, the proportion of those with level 3 problems in pain/discomfort varied from 1.1% for participants aged 18-24 to 19.2% for those over 75 years. CONCLUSIONS: EQ-5D-5L demonstrated better construct validity than CDC Healthy Days in assessing health in a population-based sample of adults.

Seropositivity to SARS-CoV-2 in Alberta, Canada in a post-vaccination period (March 2021-July 2021).

BACKGROUND: The COVID-19 pandemic has necessitated the need to rapidly make public health decisions. We systematically evaluated SARS-CoV-2 seropositivity to understand local COVID-19 epidemiology and support evidence-based public health decision making. METHODS: Residual blood samples were collected for SARS-CoV-2 receptor binding domain (RBD) IgG testing over a 1-5 day period monthly from 26 February 2021-9 July 2021 from six clinical laboratories across the province of Alberta, Canada. Monthly crude and adjusted (for age and gender) seropositivity were calculated. Results were linked to provincial administrative, laboratory, and vaccine databases. RESULTS: 60,632 individual blood samples were tested. Vaccination data were available for 98.8% of samples. Adjusted RBD IgG positivity rose from 11.9% (95% confidence interval [CI] 11.9-12.0%) in March 2021 to 70.2% (95% CI 70.2-70.3%) in July 2021 (p < .0001). Seropositivity rose from 9.4% (95% CI 9.3-9.4%) in March 2021 to 20.2% (95% CI 20.1-20.2%) in July 2021 in unvaccinated Albertans. Unvaccinated seropositive individuals were from geographic areas with significantly (p < .001) lower median household income, lower proportion of married/common-law relationships, larger average household size and higher proportions of visible minorities compared to seronegative unvaccinated individuals. In July 2021, the age groups with the lowest and highest seropositivity in unvaccinated Albertans were those ≥80 years (12.0%, 95% CI 5.3-18.6%) and 20-29 years (24.2%, 95% CI 19.6-28.8%), respectively. Of seropositive unvaccinated individuals, 50.2% (95% CI 45.9-54.5%) had no record of prior SARS-CoV-2 molecular testing. CONCLUSIONS: Longitudinal surveillance of SARS-CoV-2 seropositivity with data linkage is valuable for decision-making during the pandemic.

Evaluating the Individual Healthcare Costs and Burden of Disease Associated with RSV Across Age Groups.

BACKGROUND: Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) is a major cause of acute respiratory infection (ARI), with high morbidity and mortality worldwide. RSV costing and burden estimates can highlight the potential benefits of future vaccination programs and are essential for economic evaluations. OBJECTIVE: We aimed to determine RSV healthcare costs across age groups and the overall disease burden of medically attended RSV in Canada. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective case-control study to estimate the attributable healthcare costs per RSV case in Alberta. We used two case definitions to capture diversity in case severity: laboratory-confirmed RSV and ARI attributable to RSV. Matching occurred on five criteria: (1) age, (2) urban/rural status, (3) sex, (4) prematurity and (5) Charlson Comorbidity Index score. We calculated the age-specific burden of medically attended RSV in Canada from 2010 to 2019 by multiplying the weekly age-specific incidence of medically attended ARI with the RSV positivity rate. RESULTS: Costs per laboratory-confirmed RSV case were (in Canadian dollars [CAD], year 2020 values) $CAD12,713 and 40,028 in the first 30 and 365 days following diagnosis, respectively, whereas a case of ARI potentially attributable to RSV cost $CAD316 and 915, in 30 and 365 days, respectively. Older (aged ≥ 65 years) and younger (aged < 90 days) age groups had the highest case costs. The average medically attended RSV incidence rate across nine seasons was 1743 cases per 100,000 people per year. CONCLUSIONS: RSV is a common and expensive infection at the extremes of life, and the development of immunization programs targeting older and younger ages may be important for the reduction of RSV burden and cost.

One child, one appointment: how institutional discourses organize the work of parents and nurses in the provision of childhood vaccination for First Nations children.

To effectively support childhood vaccine programs for First Nations Peoples, Canada's largest population of Indigenous Peoples, it is essential to understand the context, processes, and structures organizing vaccine access and uptake. Rather than assuming that solutions lie in compliance with current regulations, our aim was to identify opportunities for innovation by exploring the work that nurses and parents must do to have children vaccinated. In partnership with a large First Nations community, we used an institutional ethnography approach that included observing vaccination clinic appointments, interviewing individuals involved in childhood vaccinations, and reviewing documented vaccination processes and regulations (texts). We found that the 'work' nurses engage in to deliver childhood vaccines is highly regulated by standardized texts that prioritize discourses of safety and efficiency. Within the setting of nursing practice in a First Nations community, these regulations do not always support the best interests of families. Nurses and parents are caught between the desire to vaccinate multiple children and the requirement to follow institutionally authorized processes. The success of the vaccination program, when measured solely by the number of children who follow the vaccine schedule, does not take into consideration the challenges nurses encounter in the clinic or the work parents do to get their children vaccinated. Exploring new ways of approaching the processes could lead to increased vaccination uptake and satisfaction for parents and nurses.

Impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on vaccine coverage for early childhood vaccines in Alberta, Canada: a population-based retrospective cohort study.

OBJECTIVE: To assess the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on early childhood vaccination coverage in Alberta, Canada. SETTING: Alberta, a western Canadian province, which has a population of 4.4 million and approximately 50 000 births annually. DESIGN: In this retrospective cohort study, population-based administrative health data were analysed to determine the vaccination coverage for measles-containing, pertussis-containing and rotavirus vaccines. PRIMARY OUTCOME MEASURE: We measured monthly and cumulative vaccine coverage. We assessed the absolute difference in monthly and cumulative coverage for each vaccine dose by comparing children due for vaccination in each month of 2019 and 2020, with follow-up to determine if missed doses were caught up later. PARTICIPANTS: We included 114 178 children in the 2019 analysis cohort and 106 530 children in the 2020 analysis cohort. RESULTS: Monthly vaccination coverage in 2020 was higher than 2019 until March, when coverage significantly declined. Comparing April 2020 to 2019, coverage was 9.9% (95% CI 7.9% to 12.0%) lower for measles vaccine; 4.9% (95% CI 3.3% to 6.5%), 7.1% (95% CI 5.2% to 9.1%), 5.2% (95% CI 3.1% to 7.4%) and 8.8% (95% CI 6.6% to 10.9%) lower for first, second, third and fourth doses of pertussis-containing vaccine, respectively; and 4.0% (95% CI 2.3% to 5.7%), 7.1% (95% CI 5.1% to 9.2%) and 4.6% (95% CI 2.4% to 6.7%) lower for first, second and third doses of rotavirus vaccine, respectively. Monthly coverage improved during May to July 2020; however, some doses experienced a second decline during September to October 2020. The cumulative coverage analysis showed that the measles-containing vaccine had the largest difference in coverage at the end of follow-up. CONCLUSIONS: Children who were due for vaccination early in the pandemic and in Fall 2020, especially those due for measles vaccination, may require additional catch-up.

COVID-19 Vaccination Uptake Among Individuals With Immune-mediated Inflammatory Diseases in Ontario, Canada, Between December 2020 and October 2021: A Population-based Analysis.

OBJECTIVE: We assessed coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) vaccine uptake among individuals with immune-mediated inflammatory diseases (IMIDs) and the Ontario general population. METHODS: We studied all residents aged ≥ 16 years who were alive and enrolled in the Ontario Health Insurance Plan as of December 14, 2020, when vaccination commenced (n = 12,435,914). Individuals with rheumatoid arthritis (RA), ankylosing spondylitis (AS), psoriatic arthritis (PsA), psoriasis (PsO), and inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) were identified using established disease-specific case definitions applied to health administrative data. Vaccination status was extracted from the provincial COVaxON registry. Weekly cumulative proportions of first and second doses up until October 3, 2021, were expressed as the vaccinated percentage of each disease group, compared to the general Ontario population, and stratified by age. RESULTS: By October 3, 2021, the cumulative percentage with at least 1 dose was 82.1% for the general population, 88.9% for those with RA, 87.4% for AS, 90.6% for PsA, 87.3% for PsO, and 87.0% for IBD. There was also a higher total cumulative percentage with 2 doses among IMIDs (83.8-88.2%) vs the general population (77.9%). The difference was also evident when stratifying by age. Individuals with IMIDs in the youngest age group initially had earlier uptake than the general population but remain the lowest age group with 2 doses (70.6% in the general population vs. 73.7-79.2% across IMID groups). CONCLUSION: While implementation of COVID-19 vaccination programs has differed globally, these Canadian estimates are the first to reassuringly show higher COVID-19 vaccine uptake among individuals with IMIDs.

Disease-modifying drugs for multiple sclerosis and subsequent health service use.

OBJECTIVE: We assessed the relationship between the multiple sclerosis (MS) disease-modifying drugs (DMDs) and healthcare use. METHODS: Persons with MS (aged ⩾18 years) were identified using linked population-based health administrative data in four Canadian provinces and were followed from the most recent of their first MS/demyelinating event or 1 January 1996 until the earliest of death, emigration, or study end (31 December 2017 or 31 March 2018). Prescription records captured DMD exposure, examined as any DMD, then by generation (first-generation (the injectables) or second-generation (orals/infusions)) and individual DMD. The associations with subsequent all-cause hospitalizations and physician visits were examined using proportional means model and negative binomial regression. RESULTS: Of 35,894 MS cases (72% female), mean follow-up was 12.0 years, with person-years of DMD exposure for any, or any first- or second-generation DMD being 63,290, 54,605 and 8685, respectively. Any DMD or any first-generation DMD exposure (versus non-exposure) was associated with a 24% lower hazard of hospitalization (adjusted hazard ratio, aHR: 0.76; 95% confidence intervals (CIs): 0.71-0.82), rising to 29% for the second-generation DMDs (aHR: 0.71; 95% CI: 0.58-0.88). This ranged from 18% for teriflunomide (aHR: 0.82; 95% CI: 0.67-1.00) to 44% for fingolimod (aHR: 0.56; 95% CI: 0.36-0.87). In contrast, DMD exposure was generally not associated with substantial differences in physician visits. CONCLUSION: Findings provide real-world evidence of a beneficial relationship between DMD exposure and hospitalizations.

COVID-19 pandemic impact on childhood vaccination coverage in Quebec, Canada.

Response measures to mitigate the coronavirus disease 2019 pandemic impacted access to routine vaccination services. We evaluate the impact of the pandemic on routine infant vaccination uptake by comparing vaccination coverage, vaccine delays and doses administered in 2019 and 2020, in Quebec, Canada. Using a population-based vaccination registry, we compared vaccination coverage at 3, 5, 13 and 19 months of age between 2019 and 2020 cohorts each month from January to November. For vaccine delays, we measured the cumulative proportion vaccinated in each targeted cohort monthly. We also compared the measles-containing vaccines administered before 24 months of age between the same period in 2019 and 2020. A decline in vaccination coverage and children vaccinated on time was observed in all cohorts during the first months of the pandemic. The greatest impact was observed for the 18-month vaccination visit with a difference in vaccination coverage between both cohorts of 30.9% in May. Measles-containing doses administered during the first months of the pandemic were lower in 2020 compared with 2019: -21.1% in March (95%CI-21.6;-20.4), and -39.2% in April (95%CI-40.0;-38.2). After May, the coverage increased for all cohorts to reach pre-pandemic levels after a few months for most target ages. Routine childhood vaccinations were affected during the first months of the pandemic, but catch-up occurred thereafter and vaccination coverage in affected cohorts were very close to levels of 2019 after a few months of follow-up. Real-time monitoring of childhood vaccination is essential but also for other vaccination programs, severely affected by the pandemic.

Exploring the reasons for low pertussis vaccine effectiveness in Ontario, Canada, 2006-2008: a Canadian Immunization Research Network study.

OBJECTIVES: Although pertussis vaccines have been widely used for many decades, a burden of illness persists. Resurgences in Ontario, Canada, have not been substantial in the past decade, but an outbreak of pertussis occurred in Toronto between 1 October 2005 and 31 March 2006. Previous Ontario studies found high vaccine effectiveness (VE) in the initial years post-immunization. In order to explore the impact of outbreaks and external factors on VE, we investigated pertussis VE during the period 2006-2008. METHODS: We assessed pertussis VE using a frequency-matched case-control study for the period 1 March 2006 to 31 December 2008. We used logistic regression to estimate VE by age, time since last vaccination, and vaccination status according to the Ontario recommended schedule. We compared analyses including and excluding cases from Toronto, and to two recent Ontario pertussis VE studies. RESULTS: We included 1797 confirmed cases and 7188 matched controls. Most cases were under 4 years of age during the study period. Pertussis VE was 3.8% (95% CI: - 21.0, 24.0) in the period 15-364 days following the last pertussis vaccine dose, and increased with increasing time since vaccination. Pertussis VE in the first 15-364 days excluding Toronto increased to 57.1% (95% CI: 26.0, 75.1), but the trend of increasing VE with time since vaccination persisted. Although VE was higher in older (6-11 years) than younger (0-5 years) children, it was lower at 12-13 years than after 14 years. CONCLUSION: VE was lower in comparison with other studies conducted in Ontario, particularly in younger children. Various factors occurring during the study period may have influenced the results, including clinical testing of asymptomatic contacts, laboratory testing and methods and reporting practice, and a sensitive case definition. Further studies are needed to optimize methods for measuring VE to inform pertussis vaccine policy.

RéSUMé: OBJECTIFS: Bien que les vaccins anticoquelucheux soient couramment utilisés depuis des dizaines d'années, la charge de morbidité de la coqueluche persiste. Sa réapparition en Ontario, au Canada, a été modérée au cours des 10 dernières années, mais une éclosion de coqueluche s'est produite à Toronto entre le 1er octobre 2005 et le 31 mars 2006. Des études antérieures menées en Ontario ont fait état d'une efficacité vaccinale (EV) élevée dans les premières années qui suivent l'immunisation. Pour explorer l'impact des éclosions et des facteurs externes sur l'EV, nous avons étudié l'efficacité des vaccins anticoquelucheux pour la période 2006-2008. MéTHODE: Nous avons évalué l'efficacité des vaccins anticoquelucheux à l'aide d'une étude cas-témoins assortie par fréquence pour la période du 1er mars 2006 au 31 décembre 2008. Nous avons procédé par régression logistique pour estimer l'EV selon l'âge, le temps écoulé depuis la dernière vaccination et le statut vaccinal d'après le calendrier recommandé en Ontario. Nous avons comparé les analyses en incluant et en excluant les cas de Toronto et par rapport à deux récentes études ontariennes sur l'efficacité des vaccins anticoquelucheux. RéSULTATS: Nous avons inclus 1 797 cas confirmés et 7 188 témoins assortis. La plupart des cas avaient moins de 4 ans durant la période de l'étude. L'efficacité des vaccins anticoquelucheux était de 3,8 % (IC de 95 % : -21,0, 24,0) au cours des 15 à 364 jours suivant la dernière dose de vaccin anticoquelucheux et augmentait avec le temps après la vaccination. En excluant Toronto, l'efficacité des vaccins anticoquelucheux au cours des 15 à 364 premiers jours passait à 57,1 % (IC de 95 % : 26,0, 75,1), mais la tendance d'augmentation de l'EV avec le temps après la vaccination était toujours présente. Bien que l'EV ait été supérieure chez les enfants plus vieux (6 à 11 ans) que chez les plus jeunes (0 à 5 ans), elle était plus faible chez les 12-13 ans qu'après 14 ans. CONCLUSION: Nous avons observé une EV plus faible que dans d'autres études menées en Ontario, surtout chez les jeunes enfants. Divers facteurs survenus durant la période de l'étude pourraient en avoir influencé les résultats, dont les tests cliniques menés sur les contacts asymptomatiques, les épreuves et les méthodes de laboratoire, les pratiques de déclaration et l'usage d'une définition de cas sensible. D'autres études sont nécessaires pour optimiser la méthode de mesure de l'EV afin d'éclairer la politique vaccinale contre la coqueluche.

A multi-country investigation of influenza vaccine coverage in pregnant individuals, 2010-2016.

BACKGROUND: Many countries recommend influenza vaccination during pregnancy. Despite this recommendation, influenza vaccine among pregnant individuals remains under-utilized and uptake varies by country. Factors associated with influenza vaccine uptake during pregnancy may also vary across countries. METHODS: As members of the Pregnancy Influenza Vaccine Effectiveness Network (PREVENT), five sites from four countries (Australia, Canada, Israel, and the United States) retrospectively identified cohorts of individuals aged 18-50 years who were pregnant during pre-defined influenza seasons. Influenza vaccine coverage estimates were calculated for the 2010-11 through 2015-16 northern hemisphere and the 2012 through 2015 southern hemisphere influenza seasons, by site. Sites used electronic health records, administrative data, and immunization registries to collect information on pregnancy, health history, demographics, and vaccination status. Each season, vaccination coverage was calculated as the percentage of individuals who received influenza vaccine among the individuals in the cohort that season. Characteristics were compared between those vaccinated and unvaccinated, by site. RESULTS: More than two million pregnancies were identified over the study period. Influenza vaccination coverage ranged from 5% to 58% across sites and seasons. Coverage increased consistently over the study period at three of the five sites (Western Australia, Alberta, and Israel), and was highest in all seasons at the United States study site (39-58%). Associations with vaccination varied by country and across seasons; where available, parity >0, presence of a high-risk medical condition, and urban residence were consistently associated with increased likelihood of vaccination. CONCLUSIONS: Though increasing, uptake of influenza vaccine among pregnant individuals remains lower than recommended. Coverage varied substantially by country, suggesting an ongoing need for targeted strategies to improve influenza vaccine uptake in this population.

Population coverage of the Canadian Chronic Disease Surveillance System: a survey of the contents of health insurance registries across Canada. / Couverture de la population dans le Système canadien de surveillance des maladies chroniques : enquête sur le contenu des registres d'assurance-maladie au Canada.

INTRODUCTION: Health insurance registries, which capture insurance coverage and demographic information for entire populations, are a critical component of population health surveillance and research when using administrative data. Lack of standardization of registry information across Canada's provinces and territories could affect the comparability of surveillance measures. We assessed the contents of health insurance registries across Canada to describe the populations covered and document registry similarities and differences. METHODS: A survey about the data and population identifiers in health insurance registries was developed by the study team and representatives from the Public Health Agency of Canada. The survey was completed by key informants from most provinces and territories and then descriptively analyzed. RESULTS: Responses were received from all provinces; partial responses were received from the Northwest Territories. Demographic information in health insurance registries, such as primary address, date of birth and sex, were captured in all jurisdictions. Data captured on familial relationships, ethnicity and socioeconomic status varied among jurisdictions, as did start and end dates of coverage and frequency of registry updates. Identifiers for specific populations, such as First Nations individuals, were captured in some, but not all jurisdictions. CONCLUSION: Health insurance registries are a rich source of information about the insured populations of the provinces and territories. However, data heterogeneity may affect who is included and excluded in population surveillance estimates produced using administrative health data. Development of a harmonized data framework could support timely and comparable population health research and surveillance results from multi-jurisdiction studies.

Effectiveness of BNT162b2 and mRNA-1273 covid-19 vaccines against symptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infection and severe covid-19 outcomes in Ontario, Canada: test negative design study.

OBJECTIVE: To estimate the effectiveness of mRNA covid-19 vaccines against symptomatic infection and severe outcomes (hospital admission or death). DESIGN: Test negative design study. SETTING: Ontario, Canada between 14 December 2020 and 19 April 2021. PARTICIPANTS: 324 033 community dwelling people aged ≥16 years who had symptoms of covid-19 and were tested for SARS-CoV-2. INTERVENTIONS: BNT162b2 (Pfizer-BioNTech) or mRNA-1273 (Moderna) vaccine. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Laboratory confirmed SARS-CoV-2 by reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) and hospital admissions and deaths associated with SARS-CoV-2 infection. Multivariable logistic regression was adjusted for personal and clinical characteristics associated with SARS-CoV-2 and vaccine receipt to estimate vaccine effectiveness against symptomatic infection and severe outcomes. RESULTS: Of 324 033 people with symptoms, 53 270 (16.4%) were positive for SARS-CoV-2 and 21 272 (6.6%) received at least one dose of vaccine. Among participants who tested positive, 2479 (4.7%) were admitted to hospital or died. Vaccine effectiveness against symptomatic infection observed ≥14 days after one dose was 60% (95% confidence interval 57% to 64%), increasing from 48% (41% to 54%) at 14-20 days after one dose to 71% (63% to 78%) at 35-41 days. Vaccine effectiveness observed ≥7 days after two doses was 91% (89% to 93%). Vaccine effectiveness against hospital admission or death observed ≥14 days after one dose was 70% (60% to 77%), increasing from 62% (44% to 75%) at 14-20 days to 91% (73% to 97%) at ≥35 days, whereas vaccine effectiveness observed ≥7 days after two doses was 98% (88% to 100%). For adults aged ≥70 years, vaccine effectiveness estimates were observed to be lower for intervals shortly after one dose but were comparable to those for younger people for all intervals after 28 days. After two doses, high vaccine effectiveness was observed against variants with the E484K mutation. CONCLUSIONS: Two doses of mRNA covid-19 vaccines were observed to be highly effective against symptomatic infection and severe outcomes. Vaccine effectiveness of one dose was observed to be lower, particularly for older adults shortly after the first dose.

COVID-19 infection among international travellers: a prospective analysis.

OBJECTIVES: This report estimates the risk of COVID-19 importation and secondary transmission associated with a modified quarantine programme in Canada. DESIGN AND PARTICIPANTS: Prospective analysis of international asymptomatic travellers entering Alberta, Canada. INTERVENTIONS: All participants were required to receive a PCR COVID-19 test on arrival. If negative, participants could leave quarantine but were required to have a second test 6 or 7 days after arrival. If the arrival test was positive, participants were required to remain in quarantine for 14 days. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Proportion and rate of participants testing positive for COVID-19; number of cases of secondary transmission. RESULTS: The analysis included 9535 international travellers entering Alberta by air (N=8398) or land (N=1137) that voluntarily enrolled in the Alberta Border Testing Pilot Programme (a subset of all travellers); most (83.1%) were Canadian citizens. Among the 9310 participants who received at least one test, 200 (21.5 per 1000, 95% CI 18.6 to 24.6) tested positive. Sixty-nine per cent (138/200) of positive tests were detected on arrival (14.8 per 1000 travellers, 95% CI 12.5 to 17.5). 62 cases (6.7 per 1000 travellers, 95% CI 5.1 to 8.5; 31.0% of positive cases) were identified among participants that had been released from quarantine following a negative test result on arrival. Of 192 participants who developed symptoms, 51 (26.6%) tested positive after arrival. Among participants with positive tests, four (2.0%) were hospitalised for COVID-19; none required critical care or died. Contact tracing among participants who tested positive identified 200 contacts; of 88 contacts tested, 22 were cases of secondary transmission (14 from those testing positive on arrival and 8 from those testing positive thereafter). SARS-CoV-2 B.1.1.7 lineage was not detected in any of the 200 positive cases. CONCLUSIONS: 21.5 per 1000 international travellers tested positive for COVID-19. Most (69%) tested positive on arrival and 31% tested positive during follow-up. These findings suggest the need for ongoing vigilance in travellers testing negative on arrival and highlight the value of follow-up testing and contact tracing to monitor and limit secondary transmission where possible.

The impact of varicella vaccination on paediatric herpes zoster epidemiology: a Canadian population-based retrospective cohort study.

The impact of universal varicella vaccination on herpes zoster (HZ) risk in unvaccinated and vaccinated children, and its long-term influence on HZ epidemiology, remains unknown. We conducted a retrospective cohort study using population-based administrative health data for children born between 1993 and 2018 (n = 924,124). We calculated age-specific cumulative HZ incidence rates by vaccination status for cohorts born before (1993-1999) and after (2000-2018) programme implementation; results were used to calculate relative risk of HZ by age group, vaccination status and vaccine availability period. Annual HZ incidence rates were calculated for 1993-2018. HZ risk was higher among unvaccinated children compared to vaccinated children across age groups; 64% higher before universal vaccination (RR: 0.36, 95% CI: 0.33, 0.39), and 32% higher after universal vaccination (RR: 0.68, 95% CI: 0.64, 0.73). Among unvaccinated children, HZ risk was 60% lower after vaccine programme implementation (RR: 0.40, 95% CI: 0.38, 0.43). Two-dose receipt corresponded with a 41% lower risk of HZ compared to one-dose receipt (RR: 0.59, 95% CI: 0.53, 0.65). Crude annual HZ incidence rates declined 64% after programme implementation, with decreases observed across age groups. Universal varicella vaccination programme implementation corresponds to decreased paediatric HZ incidence across age groups, in both vaccinated and unvaccinated individuals. Results from this study can be used to help inform varicella vaccination programme decision-making in other countries.

Direct health system costs for systemic lupus erythematosus patients in Alberta, Canada.

Systemic lupus Erythematosus (SLE) is a chronic multi-system autoimmune disease that can affect a person's physical, mental, and social life. It imposes a substantial economic burden up on patients, carers, healthcare systems, and wider society. This is the first study to examine the direct health care costs of SLE in Alberta using real-world data. Alberta maintains a publicly funded, universally available health care system. Health service use and direct healthcare costs of SLE and non-SLE cases were determined from inpatient hospital services, fee-for-physician services, emergency services, and ambulatory care services. All costs were estimated for calendar year 2016. Data were analysed using central measures specifically the mean to determine the annual costs of SLE and non-SLE. A total number of 10,932 (Male = 2,546; Female = 8,386), and 41,851,36 (Male = 21,157,76; Female = 20,693,60) of SLE and non-SLE cases, respectively were included in this study. The mean annual costs of SLE, and non-SLE per case were $7,740.19 (Male = $7,986.59; Female = $7,665.38), and $2,479.53 (Male = $2,265.57; Female = $2,698.30), (p < 0.001) respectively. The mean annual costs of fee-for-physician services (SLE = $2,160.03; non-SLE = $840.00) (p < 0.001), inpatient hospital services (SLE = $3,462.86; non-SLE = $1,007.29), (p < 0.001) emergency services (SLE = $440.28; non-SLE = $176.65), (p < 0.001) and ambulatory care services (SLE = $1,677.03; non-SLE = $455.05) (p < 0.001) per case were estimated. The findings showed that the costs of SLE were considerably high for patients and healthcare system. This highlights the importance of appropriate treatment and management of SLE. Further studies are required to fully investigate both the direct and indirect economic burden of SLE including out-of-pocket expenses, costs to patients and caregivers and productivity loss.